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POL Польша - Лига III · Final ·

Вда Свечи vs Гром Новы Став

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score4–2Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей30%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 45% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Вда СвечиГром Новы Став
Expected goals3.20Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 25% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Двойной шанс1275.2%1.33
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вда Свечи win45%2.222.0045%
Ничья25%4.003.6025%
Гром Новы Став win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вда Свечи1.77

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.20Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Гром Новы Став1.43

Гости share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Вда Свечи

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гром Новы Став

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.77
Expected goals
1.43
Вда СвечиГром Новы Став
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вда Свечи signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гром Новы Став signalГости clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Вда Свечи vs Гром Новы Став FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вда Свечи выигрыш 45%,Ничья 25%,Гром Новы Став выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше