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INT Лига конференций УЕФА - Квал. · Матч ·

Монако vs Гурник Забже

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев46%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей29%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев46% selection probability
Projected score2–1МонакоГурник Забже
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
46% / 25% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двойной шанс1275.1%1.33
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Монако win46%2.17
Ничья25%4.00
Гурник Забже win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монако1.57

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Гурник Забже1.20

Гости share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монако

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Гурник Забже

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.57
Expected goals
1.20
МонакоГурник Забже
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монако signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гурник Забже signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Монако vs Гурник Забже FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монако выигрыш 46%,Ничья 25%,Гурник Забже выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше