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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Матч ·

Вердер Бремен vs Падерборн

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей24%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Вердер БременПадерборн
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 23% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Двойной шанс1277.2%1.30
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Вердер Бремен win53%1.891.6554.5%
Ничья23%4.354.0022.5%
Падерборн win24%4.173.9023%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Вердер Бремен1.75

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

Падерборн1.22

Гости share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Вердер Бремен

1.33pts / match
Сыграно3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/3

Гости-context · form sequence

Падерборн

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.22
Вердер БременПадерборн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Вердер Бремен signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Падерборн signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Вердер Бремен vs Падерборн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Вердер Бремен выигрыш 53%,Ничья 23%,Падерборн выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше