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POL Польша - Лига III · Матч ·

Клучевия Старгард vs Блекитни Старгард

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев43%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Клучевия СтаргардБлекитни Старгард
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
43% / 25% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Двойной шанс1274.9%1.34
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapКлучевия Старгард winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Клучевия Старгард win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Блекитни Старгард win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Клучевия Старгард1.59

Хозяева share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Блекитни Старгард1.16

Гости share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Клучевия Старгард

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Блекитни Старгард

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.59
Expected goals
1.16
Клучевия СтаргардБлекитни Старгард
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Клучевия Старгард signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Блекитни Старгард signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Клучевия Старгард vs Блекитни Старгард FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Клучевия Старгард выигрыш 43%,Ничья 25%,Блекитни Старгард выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше