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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Final ·

MKS Makowianka vs Mazur Karczew

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score0–0Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–1MKS MakowiankaMazur Karczew
Expected goals3.62Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 22% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Șansă dublă1278.1%1.28
Peste 70% · Sub 30%Goals 2.5Peste70%1.43
Da 68% · Nu 32%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68%1.47
3.62 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMKS Makowianka winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Makowianka win49%2.041.8349.1%-0.1 pp
Egal22%4.554.1021.9%+0.1 pp
Mazur Karczew win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Makowianka2.15

Gazde share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals3.62Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 70% · Sub 30%

Mazur Karczew1.47

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 68% · Nu 32%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

MKS Makowianka

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Mazur Karczew

2.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puncte11

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
11
2.15
Expected goals
1.47
MKS MakowiankaMazur Karczew
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Makowianka signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mazur Karczew signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

MKS Makowianka vs Mazur Karczew FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Makowianka câștig 49%,Egal 22%,Mazur Karczew câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Peste 2.5 70% · Current selection Peste