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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub76% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 30% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Șansă dublă1270.4%1.42
Peste 24% · Sub 76%Goals 2.5Sub76%1.32
Da 31% · Nu 69%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win36%2.782.5535.4%+0.6 pp
Egal30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Sao Joao Ver win34%2.942.5535.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense1.06

Gazde share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 24% · Sub 76%

Sao Joao Ver0.64

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 31% · Nu 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.64
TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Joao Ver signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense câștig 36%,Egal 30%,Sao Joao Ver câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Peste 2.5 24% · Current selection Sub