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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Meci ·

Virkia vs FC Ylivieska

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–24.03 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score2–2VirkiaFC Ylivieska
Expected goals4.03Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste77% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 22% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Șansă dublă1278.4%1.28
Peste 77% · Sub 23%Goals 2.5Peste77%1.30
Da 73% · Nu 27%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73%1.37
4.03 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapFC Ylivieska winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Virkia win49%2.041.8548.4%+0.6 pp
Egal22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
FC Ylivieska win29%3.453.0029.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Virkia2.44

Gazde share of expected goals 60.5%

Total expected goals4.03Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 77% · Sub 23%

FC Ylivieska1.59

Oaspeți share of expected goals 39.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 73% · Nu 27%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Virkia

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Ylivieska

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.44
Expected goals
1.59
VirkiaFC Ylivieska
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Virkia signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Ylivieska signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Virkia vs FC Ylivieska FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Virkia câștig 49%,Egal 22%,FC Ylivieska câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Peste 2.5 77% · Current selection Peste