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ITA Italia - Serie A · Meci ·

Lecce vs Roma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.23 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde13%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți63%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți63% selection probability
Projected score1–2LecceRoma
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
13% / 24% / 63%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lecce win (13.3%)Șansă dublăX286.7%1.15
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
2.23 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLecce winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lecce win13%7.697.0013.5%-0.5 pp
Egal24%4.174.0023.6%+0.4 pp
Roma win63%1.591.5062.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lecce0.56

Gazde share of expected goals 25.1%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

Roma1.67

Oaspeți share of expected goals 74.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Lecce

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Roma

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Câștig probability excluding draw
63%
10
Points from supplied form
15
0.56
Expected goals
1.67
LecceRoma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lecce signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roma signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Lecce vs Roma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lecce câștig 13%,Egal 24%,Roma câștig 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub