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CHE Elvetia - 1.Liga Classic · Meci ·

FC Kosova vs FC Mendrisio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde44%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți31%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde44% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC KosovaFC Mendrisio
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
44% / 25% / 31%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Șansă dublă1275%1.33
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.53 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapFC Mendrisio winDifference-2.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kosova win44%2.272.1541.8%+2.2 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
FC Mendrisio win31%3.232.7033.3%-2.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kosova1.82

Gazde share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

FC Mendrisio0.71

Oaspeți share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Kosova

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Mendrisio

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Câștig probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
0.71
FC KosovaFC Mendrisio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kosova signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Mendrisio signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Kosova vs FC Mendrisio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kosova câștig 44%,Egal 25%,FC Mendrisio câștig 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub