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POL Polonia - III Liga · Meci ·

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score2–2MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Expected goals3.47Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 25% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Șansă dublă1275.2%1.33
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 68% · Nu 32%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa68%1.47
3.47 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMKS Kluczbork winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKS Kluczbork win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Egal25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Gornik Polkowice win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKS Kluczbork1.74

Gazde share of expected goals 50.1%

Total expected goals3.47Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Gornik Polkowice1.73

Oaspeți share of expected goals 49.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 68% · Nu 32%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

MKS Kluczbork

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Gornik Polkowice

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.74
Expected goals
1.73
MKS KluczborkGornik Polkowice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKS Kluczbork signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gornik Polkowice signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

MKS Kluczbork vs Gornik Polkowice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKS Kluczbork câștig 39%,Egal 25%,Gornik Polkowice câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste