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GEO Georgia - Erovnuli Liga · Round 19 ·

FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC RustaviTorpedo Kutaisi
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 27% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Șansă dublă1273.3%1.36
Peste 40% · Sub 60%Goals 2.5Sub60%1.67
Da 46% · Nu 54%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapFC Rustavi winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Rustavi win36%2.782.4536.8%-0.8 pp
Egal27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Torpedo Kutaisi win37%2.702.4536.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Rustavi1.01

Gazde share of expected goals 44.3%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 40% · Sub 60%

Torpedo Kutaisi1.27

Oaspeți share of expected goals 55.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 46% · Nu 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FC Rustavi

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Torpedo Kutaisi

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.01
Expected goals
1.27
FC RustaviTorpedo Kutaisi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Rustavi signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torpedo Kutaisi signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Rustavi câștig 36%,Egal 27%,Torpedo Kutaisi câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Peste 2.5 40% · Current selection Sub