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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Round 28 ·

FK Panevezys II vs Nevezis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.18 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde22%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți53%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți53% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK Panevezys IINevezis
Expected goals3.18Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
22% / 25% / 53%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Panevezys II win (22.2%)Șansă dublăX277.8%1.29
Peste 61% · Sub 39%Goals 2.5Peste61%1.64
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FK Panevezys II win22%4.55
Egal25%4.00
Nevezis win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Panevezys II1.05

Gazde share of expected goals 33%

Total expected goals3.18Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 61% · Sub 39%

Nevezis2.13

Oaspeți share of expected goals 67%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Panevezys II

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Nevezis

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Câștig probability excluding draw
53%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.05
Expected goals
2.13
FK Panevezys IINevezis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Panevezys II signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nevezis signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Panevezys II vs Nevezis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Panevezys II câștig 22%,Egal 25%,Nevezis câștig 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Peste 2.5 61% · Current selection Peste