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ENG Anglia - National League · Meci ·

Southend vs Scunthorpe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde48%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde48% selection probability
Projected score2–1SouthendScunthorpe
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
48% / 27% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Scunthorpe win (25.8%)Șansă dublă1X74.2%1.35
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 56% · Nu 44%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa56%1.79
2.94 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Southend win48%2.08
Egal27%3.70
Scunthorpe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Southend1.84

Gazde share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Scunthorpe1.10

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 56% · Nu 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Southend

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.84
Expected goals
1.10
SouthendScunthorpe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Southend signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Scunthorpe signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Southend vs Scunthorpe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Southend câștig 48%,Egal 27%,Scunthorpe câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste