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AUT Austria - 2. Liga · Round 4 ·

St Polten vs SV Austria Salzburg

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score1–1St PoltenSV Austria Salzburg
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub64% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 26% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Austria Salzburg win (23.8%)Șansă dublă1X76.2%1.31
Peste 36% · Sub 64%Goals 2.5Sub64%1.56
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.11 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Polten win51%1.961.8050.7%+0.3 pp
Egal26%3.853.6025.3%+0.7 pp
SV Austria Salzburg win24%4.173.8024%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Polten1.34

Gazde share of expected goals 63.5%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 36% · Sub 64%

SV Austria Salzburg0.77

Oaspeți share of expected goals 36.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

St Polten

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

SV Austria Salzburg

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
0
Points from supplied form
10
1.34
Expected goals
0.77
St PoltenSV Austria Salzburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Polten signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Austria Salzburg signalGazde failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

St Polten vs SV Austria Salzburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Polten câștig 51%,Egal 26%,SV Austria Salzburg câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Peste 2.5 36% · Current selection Sub