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ROU Romania - Liga 1 · Meci ·

UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucuresti

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde36%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți36%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde36% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTA AradRapid Bucuresti
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
36% / 29% / 36%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Șansă dublă1271.2%1.40
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 52% · Nu 48%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapRapid Bucuresti winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UTA Arad win36%2.782.5035.9%+0.1 pp
Egal29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Rapid Bucuresti win36%2.782.5535.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTA Arad1.18

Gazde share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

Rapid Bucuresti1.35

Oaspeți share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 52% · Nu 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

UTA Arad

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Rapid Bucuresti

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Câștig probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.35
UTA AradRapid Bucuresti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTA Arad signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rapid Bucuresti signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

UTA Arad vs Rapid Bucuresti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTA Arad câștig 36%,Egal 29%,Rapid Bucuresti câștig 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub