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SVN Slovenia 2. SNL · Meci ·

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.79 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde27%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți47%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți47% selection probability
Projected score1–2NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
27% / 26% / 47%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Șansă dublă1274%1.35
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
2.79 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapNK Bistrica winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Krka win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Egal26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
NK Bistrica win47%2.131.9146.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Krka0.99

Gazde share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

NK Bistrica1.80

Oaspeți share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

NK Krka

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

NK Bistrica

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Câștig probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.99
Expected goals
1.80
NK KrkaNK Bistrica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Krka signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Bistrica signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

NK Krka vs NK Bistrica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Krka câștig 27%,Egal 26%,NK Bistrica câștig 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste