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ITA Italia - Serie A · Meci ·

Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde57%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde57% selection probability
Projected score2–1FiorentinaFrosinone
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
57% / 23% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Frosinone win (20.1%)Șansă dublă1X79.9%1.25
Peste 46% · Sub 54%Goals 2.5Sub54%1.85
Da 48% · Nu 52%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fiorentina win57%1.751.6258.5%
Egal23%4.354.2022.6%
Frosinone win20%5.005.0019%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fiorentina1.56

Gazde share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 46% · Sub 54%

Frosinone0.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 48% · Nu 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Frosinone

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
0.93
FiorentinaFrosinone
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fiorentina signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Frosinone signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Fiorentina vs Frosinone FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fiorentina câștig 57%,Egal 23%,Frosinone câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Peste 2.5 46% · Current selection Sub