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CHL Chile - Segunda División · Partida ·

Colchagua CD vs Santiago City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa48%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Colchagua CDSantiago City
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
48% / 26% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santiago City win (25.9%)Dupla Chance1X74.1%1.35
Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%Goals 2.5Acima59%1.69
Sim 61% · Não 39%Ambas as equipes marcamSim61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSantiago City winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Colchagua CD win48%2.081.8548.2%-0.2 pp
Empate26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Santiago City win26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colchagua CD1.68

Mandante share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 59% · Abaixo 41%

Santiago City1.36

Visitante share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 61% · Não 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Colchagua CD

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Santiago City

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.68
Expected goals
1.36
Colchagua CDSantiago City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colchagua CD signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santiago City signalMandante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Colchagua CD vs Santiago City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colchagua CD ganhou 48%,Empate 26%,Santiago City ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Acima 2.5 59% · Current selection Acima