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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · Partida ·

Libertad FC vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.41 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa24%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante50%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Libertad FCUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
24% / 26% / 50%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Libertad FC win (24%)Dupla ChanceX276%1.32
Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%Goals 2.5Abaixo57%1.75
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.41 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.9%Largest probability gapLibertad FC winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Libertad FC win24%4.173.9023.6%+0.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.5026.2%-0.2 pp
Universidad Católica del Ecuador win50%2.001.8350.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Libertad FC1.07

Mandante share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 43% · Abaixo 57%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador1.34

Visitante share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Libertad FC

2.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontos12

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Universidad Católica del Ecuador

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
50%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.07
Expected goals
1.34
Libertad FCUniversidad Católica del Ecuador
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Libertad FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad Católica del Ecuador signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Libertad FC vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Libertad FC ganhou 24%,Empate 26%,Universidad Católica del Ecuador ganhou 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Acima 2.5 43% · Current selection Abaixo