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INT Bulgaria Second League · Partida ·

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 31% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Dupla Chance1269.4%1.44
Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%Goals 2.5Abaixo60%1.67
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.30 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Sportist Svoge win36%2.78
Empate31%3.23
Pirin Blagoevgrad win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportist Svoge1.18

Mandante share of expected goals 51.3%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 48.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sportist Svoge

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Pirin Blagoevgrad

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
2
1.18
Expected goals
1.12
Sportist SvogePirin Blagoevgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportist Svoge signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pirin Blagoevgrad signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportist Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportist Svoge ganhou 36%,Empate 31%,Pirin Blagoevgrad ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Acima 2.5 40% · Current selection Abaixo