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DEU Alemanha - 3.Liga · Partida ·

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa45%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante32%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa45% selection probability
Projected score2–1MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Expected goals3.16Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 23% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Dupla Chance1276.7%1.30
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 63% · Não 37%Ambas as equipes marcamSim63%1.59
3.16 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
MSV Duisburg win45%2.22
Empate23%4.35
SV Meppen win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSV Duisburg1.73

Mandante share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.16Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

SV Meppen1.43

Visitante share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 63% · Não 37%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

MSV Duisburg

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

SV Meppen

0.00pts / match
Jogos0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Pontos0

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.73
Expected goals
1.43
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSV Duisburg signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Meppen signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSV Duisburg vs SV Meppen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSV Duisburg ganhou 45%,Empate 23%,SV Meppen ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima