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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Partida ·

FC Felgueiras 1932 vs Grupo Desportivo de Chaves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa41%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Felgueiras 1932Grupo Desportivo de Chaves
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
41% / 29% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Dupla Chance1270.8%1.41
Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%Goals 2.5Abaixo64%1.56
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
2.14 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapFC Felgueiras 1932 winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Felgueiras 1932 win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Empate29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Grupo Desportivo de Chaves win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Felgueiras 19321.10

Mandante share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 36% · Abaixo 64%

Grupo Desportivo de Chaves1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

FC Felgueiras 1932

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Pontos7

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Grupo Desportivo de Chaves

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.10
Expected goals
1.04
FC Felgueiras 1932Grupo Desportivo de Chaves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Felgueiras 1932 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grupo Desportivo de Chaves signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FC Felgueiras 1932 vs Grupo Desportivo de Chaves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Felgueiras 1932 ganhou 41%,Empate 29%,Grupo Desportivo de Chaves ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Acima 2.5 36% · Current selection Abaixo