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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 29 ·

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.93 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa27%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante41%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo70% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
27% / 32% / 41%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (26.9%)Dupla ChanceX273.1%1.37
Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%Goals 2.5Abaixo70%1.43
Sim 36% · Não 64%Ambas as equipes marcamNão64%1.56
1.93 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapExcursionistas winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogue win27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp
Empate32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Excursionistas win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogue0.69

Mandante share of expected goals 35.8%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 30% · Abaixo 70%

Excursionistas1.24

Visitante share of expected goals 64.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 36% · Não 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.69
Expected goals
1.24
CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogue signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogue ganhou 27%,Empate 32%,Excursionistas ganhou 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Acima 2.5 30% · Current selection Abaixo