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COL Colômbia - Campeonato de Sub19 · Final ·

Envigado Sub19 vs Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score4–0Previsão 3–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa54%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante23%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa54% selection probability
Projected score3–1Envigado Sub19Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19
Expected goals3.54Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
54% / 23% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19 win (22.8%)Dupla Chance1X77.2%1.30
Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%Goals 2.5Acima69%1.45
Sim 52% · Não 48%Ambas as equipes marcamSim52%1.92
3.54 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapEnvigado Sub19 winDifference+2.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Envigado Sub19 win54%1.851.7351.3%+2.7 pp
Empate23%4.353.7024%-1.0 pp
Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19 win23%4.353.6024.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Envigado Sub192.74

Mandante share of expected goals 77.4%

Total expected goals3.54Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%

Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub190.80

Visitante share of expected goals 22.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 52% · Não 48%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Envigado Sub19

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
13
Points from supplied form
7
2.74
Expected goals
0.80
Envigado Sub19Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Envigado Sub19 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19 signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Envigado Sub19 vs Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Envigado Sub19 ganhou 54%,Empate 23%,Belén Arco Zaragoza Sub19 ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.54 · Acima 2.5 69% · Current selection Acima