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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partida ·

Universidad de Cajamarca vs AD Tarma

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa51%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante22%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Universidad de CajamarcaAD Tarma
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
51% / 27% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Tarma win (22.1%)Dupla Chance1X77.9%1.28
Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%Goals 2.5Acima51%1.96
Sim 55% · Não 45%Ambas as equipes marcamSim55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapAD Tarma winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad de Cajamarca win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Empate27%3.703.4027.2%-0.2 pp
AD Tarma win22%4.554.3321.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad de Cajamarca1.46

Mandante share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%

AD Tarma1.23

Visitante share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 55% · Não 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Universidad de Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontos0

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.23
Universidad de CajamarcaAD Tarma
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad de Cajamarca signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Tarma signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universidad de Cajamarca vs AD Tarma FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad de Cajamarca ganhou 51%,Empate 27%,AD Tarma ganhou 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Acima 2.5 51% · Current selection Acima