Every verified call stays in the record.
Review each prediction market separately. Every figure compares calls made before kickoff with confirmed match data and includes both hits and misses.
Recent verified Goals 2.5 sample28latest settled predictions
Won / lost19 / 9pushes excluded from the rate
Total selection hit rate68%
Average selected probability67%shown before kickoff
Calibration gap+1.2 pphit rate minus stated probability
Review window07 sie 2026 — 07 sie 2026recent sample, not a lifetime claim
Confidence check
One Goals 2.5 call per completed matchDoes confidence match outcomes?
Selected probabilitySampleAverage statedActual hit rateDifference
50–54%353%67%+13.9 pp
55–59%259%0%-59.1 pp
60–64%963%78%+15.1 pp
65% and above1473%71%-1.9 pp
These figures cover the latest 28 settled Goals 2.5 predictions, up to a maximum of 200. Small groups can move sharply and do not guarantee future results.
01
Set before kickoff
Each prediction and probability is recorded before the match starts.
02
Show sample size
Hit rate is displayed with the number of completed predictions and the exact review window.
03
Keep the misses
Finished match pages show the original prediction alongside the final result.
04
Respect calibration
A useful probability should match outcomes over enough comparable forecasts, not just sound confident.