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SWE Szwecja - Superettan · Mecz ·

Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy34%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości39%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Orebro SKVarbergs BoIS FC
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
34% / 27% / 39%Wynik meczuWygrana gości39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Podwójna szansa1273.1%1.37
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapOrebro SK winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orebro SK win34%2.942.6034.3%-0.3 pp
Remis27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Varbergs BoIS FC win39%2.562.3038.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orebro SK1.23

Gospodarze share of expected goals 42.1%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Varbergs BoIS FC1.69

Goście share of expected goals 57.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Orebro SK

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Varbergs BoIS FC

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.69
Orebro SKVarbergs BoIS FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orebro SK signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varbergs BoIS FC signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Orebro SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orebro SK wygrana 34%,Remis 27%,Varbergs BoIS FC wygrana 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej