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ENG Anglia - National League North · Mecz ·

Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości33%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score2–1MorecambeSpennymoor Town
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 24% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Podwójna szansa1276%1.32
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 60% · Nie 40%Obie drużyny strzeląTak60%1.67
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Morecambe win43%2.33
Remis24%4.17
Spennymoor Town win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Morecambe1.63

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

Spennymoor Town1.38

Goście share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 60% · Nie 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Morecambe

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Spennymoor Town

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.63
Expected goals
1.38
MorecambeSpennymoor Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Morecambe signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spennymoor Town signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Morecambe wygrana 43%,Remis 24%,Spennymoor Town wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej