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ENG Anglia - Premier League · Mecz ·

Chelsea vs Brighton

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości25%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChelseaBrighton
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 26% / 25%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brighton win (25.4%)Podwójna szansa1X74.6%1.34
Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%Goals 2.5Powyżej53%1.89
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapChelsea winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chelsea win49%2.041.8349.9%-0.9 pp
Remis26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp
Brighton win25%4.003.7024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chelsea1.45

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 53% · Poniżej 47%

Brighton1.33

Goście share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Chelsea

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Brighton

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.45
Expected goals
1.33
ChelseaBrighton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chelsea signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brighton signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Chelsea vs Brighton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chelsea wygrana 49%,Remis 26%,Brighton wygrana 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Powyżej 2.5 53% · Current selection Powyżej