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LUX Luksemburg - Division Nationale · Mecz ·

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości34%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score2–2UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Expected goals3.38Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej66% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 26% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Podwójna szansa1274.5%1.34
Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%Goals 2.5Powyżej66%1.52
Tak 67% · Nie 33%Obie drużyny strzeląTak67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UN Kaerjeng win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Remis26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
US Hostert win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UN Kaerjeng1.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 66% · Poniżej 34%

US Hostert1.57

Goście share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 67% · Nie 33%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

UN Kaerjeng

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

US Hostert

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UN Kaerjeng signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Hostert signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UN Kaerjeng wygrana 40%,Remis 26%,US Hostert wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Powyżej 2.5 66% · Current selection Powyżej