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ISL Islandia - Premier League · Final ·

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score4–4Prognoza 2–2
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Nietrafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score2–2Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Expected goals3.68Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej71% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak71% for the selected side
Expected corners12.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 26% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Podwójna szansa1274.5%1.34
Powyżej 71% · Poniżej 29%Goals 2.5Powyżej71%1.41
Tak 71% · Nie 29%Obie drużyny strzeląTak71%1.41
3.68 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
12.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Valur Reykjavik win41%2.44
Remis26%3.85
KA Akureyri win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik1.99

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.68Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 71% · Poniżej 29%

KA Akureyri1.69

Goście share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 71% · Nie 29%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

KA Akureyri

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.69
Valur ReykjavikKA Akureyri
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KA Akureyri signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik wygrana 41%,Remis 26%,KA Akureyri wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Powyżej 2.5 71% · Current selection Powyżej