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QAT Qatar - Stars League · Wedstrijd ·

Al-Ahli Doha vs Lusail

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.15 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst25%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-Ahli DohaLusail
Expected goals3.15Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 23% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbele Kans1277.4%1.29
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 62% · Nee 38%Beide teams scorenJa62%1.61
3.15 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Ahli Doha win53%1.891.6554.2%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.3%
Lusail win25%4.003.8023.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Ahli Doha1.84

Thuis share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals3.15Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

Lusail1.31

Uit share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nee 38%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al-Ahli Doha

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lusail

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.84
Expected goals
1.31
Al-Ahli DohaLusail
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Ahli Doha signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lusail signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Al-Ahli Doha vs Lusail FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Ahli Doha gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 23%,Lusail gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.15 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven