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BEL België - Eerste nationale · Wedstrijd ·

Union Saint Gilloise II vs Union Rochefortoise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.37 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst44%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Union Saint Gilloise IIUnion Rochefortoise
Expected goals3.37Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 25% / 44%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.37 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapUnion Rochefortoise winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Saint Gilloise II win31%3.233.0029.7%+1.3 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Union Rochefortoise win44%2.271.9545.6%-1.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Saint Gilloise II1.86

Thuis share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals3.37Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Union Rochefortoise1.51

Uit share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise II

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Union Rochefortoise

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
44%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.86
Expected goals
1.51
Union Saint Gilloise IIUnion Rochefortoise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Saint Gilloise II signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Rochefortoise signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Union Saint Gilloise II vs Union Rochefortoise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Saint Gilloise II gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 25%,Union Rochefortoise gewonnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.37 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven