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SCO Schotland - League Challenge Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Alloa vs Motherwell B

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst75%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst9%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 75% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst75% selection probability
Projected score3–1AlloaMotherwell B
Expected goals3.62Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
75% / 16% / 9%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Motherwell B win (8.6%)Dubbele Kans1X91.4%1.09
Boven 71% · Onder 29%Goals 2.5Boven71%1.41
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.62 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alloa win75%1.331.1876.7%
Gelijkspel16%6.255.7515.7%
Motherwell B win9%11.1112.007.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alloa2.53

Thuis share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 71% · Onder 29%

Motherwell B1.09

Uit share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Alloa

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Motherwell B

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
AlloaMotherwell B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alloa signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Motherwell B signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Alloa vs Motherwell B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alloa gewonnen 75%,Gelijkspel 16%,Motherwell B gewonnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Boven 2.5 71% · Current selection Boven