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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Newcastle vs Strasbourg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.99 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst24%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score2–1NewcastleStrasbourg
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 25% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Strasbourg win (23.9%)Dubbele Kans1X76.1%1.31
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.99 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newcastle win51%1.961.7352%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Strasbourg win24%4.173.9023.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newcastle1.76

Thuis share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Strasbourg1.23

Uit share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Newcastle

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Strasbourg

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.76
Expected goals
1.23
NewcastleStrasbourg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newcastle signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Strasbourg signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Newcastle vs Strasbourg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newcastle gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 25%,Strasbourg gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven