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BRA Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst26%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santa Cruz RSGramadense
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 32% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gramadense win (26.5%)Dubbele Kans1X73.5%1.36
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.18 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santa Cruz RS win42%2.382.1541.7%
Gelijkspel32%3.132.8032%
Gramadense win26%3.853.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santa Cruz RS1.24

Thuis share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Gramadense0.94

Uit share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Santa Cruz RS

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn3Losses0Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/4

Uit-context · form sequence

Gramadense

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.24
Expected goals
0.94
Santa Cruz RSGramadense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santa Cruz RS signalThuis unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gramadense signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santa Cruz RS gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 32%,Gramadense gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder