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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Wedstrijd ·

Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst28%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–1MidtjyllandHNK Rijeka
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 25% / 28%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dubbele Kans1275.3%1.33
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Midtjylland win47%2.13
Gelijkspel25%4.00
HNK Rijeka win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Midtjylland1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

HNK Rijeka1.19

Uit share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Midtjylland

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HNK Rijeka

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.60
Expected goals
1.19
MidtjyllandHNK Rijeka
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Midtjylland signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Rijeka signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Midtjylland vs HNK Rijeka FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Midtjylland gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 25%,HNK Rijeka gewonnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven