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EUR UEFA Europa League - Kwalificatie · Wedstrijd ·

FC Salzburg vs Mjällby AIF

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.76 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst74%
Gelijkspel16%
Uitwinst10%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 74% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst74% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC SalzburgMjällby AIF
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
74% / 16% / 10%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mjällby AIF win (9.5%)Dubbele Kans1X90.5%1.10
Boven 53% · Onder 47%Goals 2.5Boven53%1.89
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.76 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Salzburg win74%1.351.1876.7%
Gelijkspel16%6.256.0015.1%
Mjällby AIF win10%10.0011.008.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Salzburg1.97

Thuis share of expected goals 71.4%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 53% · Onder 47%

Mjällby AIF0.79

Uit share of expected goals 28.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Salzburg

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Mjällby AIF

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
10%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.97
Expected goals
0.79
FC SalzburgMjällby AIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Salzburg signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mjällby AIF signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FC Salzburg vs Mjällby AIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Salzburg gewonnen 74%,Gelijkspel 16%,Mjällby AIF gewonnen 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Boven 2.5 53% · Current selection Boven