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SRB Servië - Superliga · Wedstrijd ·

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Zeleznicar PancevoFK Radnik Surdulica
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 30% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Radnik Surdulica win (23.6%)Dubbele Kans1X76.4%1.31
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.28 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win47%2.13
Gelijkspel30%3.33
FK Radnik Surdulica win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.49

Thuis share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

FK Radnik Surdulica0.79

Uit share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Radnik Surdulica

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.49
Expected goals
0.79
FK Zeleznicar PancevoFK Radnik Surdulica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Zeleznicar Pancevo signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Radnik Surdulica signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs FK Radnik Surdulica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 30%,FK Radnik Surdulica gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder