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BRA Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · Wedstrijd ·

Pelotas vs Bage

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst20%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score1–1PelotasBage
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 28% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bage win (19.9%)Dubbele Kans1X80.1%1.25
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
7.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pelotas win52%1.921.7052.9%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.1%
Bage win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pelotas1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Bage0.86

Uit share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Pelotas

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punten3

SignalThuis unbeaten 1/1

Uit-context · form sequence

Bage

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.42
Expected goals
0.86
PelotasBage
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pelotas signalThuis unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bage signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Pelotas vs Bage FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pelotas gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 28%,Bage gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder