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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Teruel vs Castellon B

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst16%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 58% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score2–1TeruelCastellon B
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 26% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Castellon B win (16.4%)Dubbele Kans1X83.6%1.20
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Teruel win58%1.721.5359.1%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.8%
Castellon B win16%6.256.0015.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Teruel2.05

Thuis share of expected goals 62.7%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Castellon B1.22

Uit share of expected goals 37.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Teruel

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Castellon B

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
3
2.05
Expected goals
1.22
TeruelCastellon B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Teruel signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Castellon B signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Teruel vs Castellon B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Teruel gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 26%,Castellon B gewonnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven