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BIH Bosnië & Herzegovina - Premijer Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Borac Banja Luka vs Vélez Mostar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–02.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst59%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst14%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst59% selection probability
Projected score2–0Borac Banja LukaVélez Mostar
Expected goals2.27Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee68% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
59% / 27% / 14%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vélez Mostar win (14.5%)Dubbele Kans1X85.5%1.17
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
2.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–0
7.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Borac Banja Luka win59%1.69
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Vélez Mostar win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Borac Banja Luka1.79

Thuis share of expected goals 78.9%

Total expected goals2.27Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Vélez Mostar0.48

Uit share of expected goals 21.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Borac Banja Luka

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vélez Mostar

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
4
1.79
Expected goals
0.48
Borac Banja LukaVélez Mostar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Borac Banja Luka signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vélez Mostar signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Borac Banja Luka vs Vélez Mostar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–0 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Borac Banja Luka gewonnen 59%,Gelijkspel 27%,Vélez Mostar gewonnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.27 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder