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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Wedstrijd ·

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo ArmenioVilla Dalmine
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 33% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Armenio win (28.6%)Dubbele KansX271.4%1.40
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 36% · Nee 64%Beide teams scorenNee64%1.56
1.86 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Deportivo Armenio win29%3.45
Gelijkspel33%3.03
Villa Dalmine win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Armenio0.80

Thuis share of expected goals 43%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Villa Dalmine1.06

Uit share of expected goals 57%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nee 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Armenio

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.80
Expected goals
1.06
Deportivo ArmenioVilla Dalmine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Armenio signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villa Dalmine signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Armenio gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 33%,Villa Dalmine gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder