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SRB Serbia Super Liga · Wedstrijd ·

OFK Beograd vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1OFK BeogradFK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 31% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Dubbele Kans1268.9%1.45
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
OFK Beograd win36%2.78
Gelijkspel31%3.23
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

OFK Beograd1.14

Thuis share of expected goals 51.8%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.06

Uit share of expected goals 48.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

OFK Beograd

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.06
OFK BeogradFK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01OFK Beograd signalThuis failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Zeleznicar Pancevo signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

OFK Beograd vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

OFK Beograd gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 31%,FK Zeleznicar Pancevo gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder