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MEX Mexico Liga MX · Wedstrijd ·

Santos Laguna vs Chivas Guadalajara

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst45%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst30%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Santos LagunaChivas Guadalajara
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
45% / 25% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dubbele Kans1274.9%1.34
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Santos Laguna win45%2.22
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Chivas Guadalajara win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos Laguna1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

Chivas Guadalajara1.22

Uit share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Santos Laguna

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Chivas Guadalajara

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
Santos LagunaChivas Guadalajara
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos Laguna signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chivas Guadalajara signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Santos Laguna vs Chivas Guadalajara FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos Laguna gewonnen 45%,Gelijkspel 25%,Chivas Guadalajara gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven