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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Wedstrijd ·

Hartberg vs FK Austria Wien

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.46 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergFK Austria Wien
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 30% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Austria Wien win (28.9%)Dubbele Kans1X71.1%1.41
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.46 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Hartberg win41%2.44
Gelijkspel30%3.33
FK Austria Wien win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.43

Thuis share of expected goals 58.1%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

FK Austria Wien1.03

Uit share of expected goals 41.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hartberg

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FK Austria Wien

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.43
Expected goals
1.03
HartbergFK Austria Wien
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Austria Wien signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs FK Austria Wien FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 30%,FK Austria Wien gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder