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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Swansea vs Birmingham

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst40%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SwanseaBirmingham
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 26% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)Dubbele Kans1273.6%1.36
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Boven50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swansea win33%3.032.8033.1%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.5%
Birmingham win40%2.502.3040.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swansea1.29

Thuis share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Birmingham1.40

Uit share of expected goals 52%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Swansea

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Birmingham

1.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.29
Expected goals
1.40
SwanseaBirmingham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swansea signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Birmingham signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Swansea vs Birmingham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swansea gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 26%,Birmingham gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Boven