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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Stoke vs Oldham

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst37%
Baseline forecastUitwinstTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1StokeOldham
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dubbele Kans1274.2%1.35
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Stoke win37%2.70
Gelijkspel26%3.85
Oldham win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stoke1.34

Thuis share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Oldham1.36

Uit share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stoke

1.25pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/4

Uit-context · form sequence

Oldham

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
StokeOldham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stoke signalThuis clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Oldham signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Stoke vs Oldham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stoke gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 26%,Oldham gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven