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NOR Noorwegen - 1. divisjon · Final ·

Strommen vs Raufoss

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 50% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score2–1StrommenRaufoss
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 26% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Raufoss win (23.9%)Dubbele Kans1X76.1%1.31
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.01 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.2%Largest probability gapRaufoss winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Strommen win50%2.001.8350.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5026.4%-0.4 pp
Raufoss win24%4.174.0023.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Strommen1.59

Thuis share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

Raufoss1.42

Uit share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Strommen

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Raufoss

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.59
Expected goals
1.42
StrommenRaufoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Strommen signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raufoss signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Strommen vs Raufoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Strommen gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 26%,Raufoss gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven