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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NOR Noorwegen - 1. divisjon · Round 14 ·

Stabaek vs Ranheim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–14.52 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst70%
Gelijkspel14%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst70% selection probability
Projected score3–1StabaekRanheim
Expected goals4.52Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven83% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
70% / 14% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (14.4%)Dubbele Kans1285.6%1.17
Boven 83% · Onder 17%Goals 2.5Boven83%1.20
Ja 72% · Nee 28%Beide teams scorenJa72%1.39
4.52 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
11.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapRanheim winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stabaek win70%1.431.3370.1%-0.1 pp
Gelijkspel14%7.146.5014.3%-0.3 pp
Ranheim win15%6.676.0015.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stabaek3.13

Thuis share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals4.52Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 83% · Onder 17%

Ranheim1.39

Uit share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 72% · Nee 28%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stabaek

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Ranheim

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
15
Points from supplied form
3
3.13
Expected goals
1.39
StabaekRanheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stabaek signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ranheim signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Stabaek vs Ranheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stabaek gewonnen 70%,Gelijkspel 14%,Ranheim gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.52 · Boven 2.5 83% · Current selection Boven